Clearly, no matter how much the Middle East tries to show its support for democracy, equal rights and the voice of the people, it cannot easily adjust from the status quo to progressing to democracy. Coming from a land where kingdoms, tribes, clans and factions dominated the culture, people had to be on one side to have a sense of belonging and must follow orders, even if it is meant to preserve their group’s solidarity by defeating a rival group. Modern governments may follow the western approach, but clearly, as one expert mentioned it, the ties of factions are deeper than what nationality can offer.

Recently, Egypt was on the verge of a civil war as Egyptian President Mohamed Morsy excluded the monitoring of his presidential decisions by the legal sector until a new constitution is written. This led to the walk-out of many political representatives, leaving Morsy with an Muslim Brotherhood-dominated constitution. This led to chaos in Egypt with people protesting against the domination of the Muslim brotherhood. However, the constitution was trashed as it is subject to the approval of the citizenry itself.

The Israel-Gaza conflict also shows that still, cultural dispute is still alive regardless of years. Israel attacked Gaza by killing its Military head, in which Gaza retaliated, sending Israel to have a few weeks of war and volleyfire exchange against each other. The conflict, though resolved, had left Gaza noticed by the world, and the impending instability in the area.

Will there be peace in an area of the world were the mentality is still patriarchal and people still continue to view themselves as part of a faction or clan that their ancestors once belonged to? It can be possible, but it is yet to be seen given the current situation of the Middle East today.

I’ve recently discussed about how the Syrian conflict might become a big collapse of Syrian society once the war escalates into sectarian violence. As with Lebanon, the Syrian war has affected sects in the country, killing at least 12 people and having 11 soldiers try to settle the issue with force.

The middle east is a country built with many tribes and sects, founded by caste and supports a patriarchal mode of society. With this culture and societal construct in place for more than hundreds of years, letting go of the conflicts between these sects can prove to be a problem. This is what happened with Lebanon’s 17-year civil war, which claimed thousands of lives. Apparently, in Syria, 20,000 have been reported to have been killed in the crossfire, most of them civilian casualties.

Again, because of the fighting, violence will only fuel more violence. The UN has finally re-assigned another envoy to Syria to handle the diplomatic mission.

Only through a diplomatic ending can the Syrian crisis truly find its end. If one side wins in the conflict, either rebel or regime, it’ll only be the same case. With the culture of Syria’s sects, biases, favors, politics and the violence can never end.

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We all know that the Syrian Civil War started 16 months ago after a peaceful revolution ended up in bloodshed as the Assad Regime opened fire with live ammunition on protesters. Soon, the conflict escalated to violent attacks on civilian homes rumored to support the opposition. The conflict now escalated to armed attacks and skirmishes between Syrian rebel and regime fighters. Bombers, tanks and other heavy weapons are also included in the attacks.

The question is, can the conflict become sectarian? Iraq, after eliminating a Sunni-led monarchy that had lasted for years, had sectarian conflicts all over. The U.S. is powerless to act in the situation given that other countries, namely China and Russia, do not agree with western involvement with regimes that they do not desire. Syrian president Bashar al-Assad is part of the Alawite minority. Many sects fear his rule, yet alawites are given preferable treatment and Christians find themselves more at ease with having a small Islamic sect ruling the land. The kurds remain neutral regarding the situation as well.

However, Sunnis make most of the opposition and rebels. If the war escalates to a level of sectarianism, there may be more blood. Recent news state that U.N. Special Envoy to Syria Kofi Annan has resigned from his position over the failure of his six-point peace plan. Without Kofi Annan, we might see a bloodier Syria ending in conflict, deaths and repeating the cycle.

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